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How juries get fooled by statistics (TEDTalks)

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http://www.ted.com Statistician Peter Donnelly explores the common mistakes humans make in interpreting statistics, and the devastating impact these errors can have on the outcome of criminal trials. Donnelly is a statistics professor at Oxford University who collaborates with biologists, applying statistical models to genetics, with the hope of shedding more light on evolutionary history and the structure of the human genome (Recorded July 2005 in Oxford, UK. Duration: 22:06)

Channel: News & Politics
Uploaded: January 12, 2007 at 9:45 pm
Author: TEDtalksDirector

Length: 22:06
Rating: 4.82
Views: 22768

Tags: "Peter  Donnelly"  jury  statistics  TED  TEDTalks  trials  

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Video Comments

tehmushroom (August 14, 2008 at 7:25 am)
one word..the runaway jury okay, a phrase.
slblack (June 16, 2008 at 6:05 pm)
WHAT A FYCKING MORON
blackberryjuice1 (May 6, 2008 at 10:20 am)
holy crap, I just found out my mom had an affair with Peter Donnelly and he might be my father too!
dukenukem001 (May 1, 2008 at 12:11 pm)
no way, thats my dad too......I have a brother/sister?
memblor (March 10, 2008 at 2:07 pm)
it's 'forfty' percent of all people know that.
caughtbytheflash (February 25, 2008 at 5:49 pm)
omg! thats my friend's Dad, no jks!!!
BoozyBeggar (February 21, 2008 at 2:36 pm)
Plus each individual juror can affect the opinion of other jurors, or one juror could rise to 'alpha juror' status and be backed by 'beta jurors' and make an honest dissenting opinion of another juror more and more likely to vanish. My choice of language and metaphors were a bit fuzzy, but hopefully you get the message.
papasitoman (February 12, 2008 at 6:09 am)
60% of the time it works everytime.
emperoratuni (February 9, 2008 at 6:38 pm)
yes that is bayes theorem exactly
Jakemmx (February 2, 2008 at 5:38 pm)
I think the whole Jury system is quite flawed.... It should depend on critical thinking and evidence, but it seems to depend more on attorney talent and the emotions of the jury.

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